Home RT Live ER Live Tier-1 Shadow Meta-Labeler Shadow

Meta-Labeler v1 Shadow

LightGBM meta-labeler trained on 21 emitter agents, deployed 2026-05-07 for the 30-day Phase 1 shadow window. Frozen model (no in-place retraining; next retrain at Phase 2 review 2026-06-06). Per the 2026-05-11 A/B verdict, the v1 artifact lost to HRP-weighted Tier-1 sleeves and is now research-only.

Model artifact

meta_labeler_v1_2026_05_08

frozen at —

Latest driver tick

2026-06-12T01:08:07 UTC

latest bar processed: 2026-06-12 00:00:00

Shadow ledger summary

metric	value
Rows in ledger	8,211
Entries	388
Exits	377
Blocked by concentration cap	2486
Heartbeats (still-open positions)	4960
Cumulative realized P&L	+3.7386%
Hit rate	45.6%
Observation window	2026-05-07 22:00 → 2026-06-12 00:00 (842.0h)

Current views (latest tick 2026-06-12 00:00 UTC)

Entry band: p_cal > 0.55 → LONG, p_cal < 0.45 → SHORT.

pair	p_cal	band	view	conviction	atr_24h	model_price
AUDUSD	0.4567	neutral	—	0.433	0.00120	0.70447
EURUSD	0.4244	SHORT band	SHORT	0.756	0.00147	1.15698
GBPUSD	0.4611	neutral	—	0.389	0.00181	1.34082
NZDUSD	0.4611	neutral	—	0.389	0.00116	0.58245
USDCAD	0.5814	LONG band	LONG	0.814	0.00127	1.39773
USDCHF	0.6607	LONG band	LONG	1.607	0.00120	0.79589
USDJPY	0.6607	LONG band	LONG	1.607	0.12337	160.17050
USDMXN	0.5745	LONG band	LONG	0.745	0.02602	17.25129
USDNOK	0.6130	LONG band	LONG	1.130	0.01865	9.49474
USDPLN	0.6525	LONG band	LONG	1.525	0.00630	3.67345
USDSEK	0.6834	LONG band	LONG	1.834	0.02256	9.45510
USDZAR	0.6252	LONG band	LONG	1.252	0.04891	16.29689

Open positions

pair	position
EURUSD	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 1.157895, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "e
GBPUSD	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 1.341755, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "e
NZDUSD	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 0.58306, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "en
USDCAD	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 1.39698, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "e
USDCHF	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 0.79481, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "e
USDJPY	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 160.0385, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "
USDMXN	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 17.246195, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00",
USDNOK	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 9.48818, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "e
USDPLN	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 3.669555, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "
USDSEK	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 9.442545, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-11 23:00:00", "
USDZAR	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 16.29689, "entry_bar_time": "2026-06-12 00:00:00", "e

Recent ledger events (last 30)

bar_time (UTC)	pair	action	side	realized	reason
2026-06-12 00:00	USDZAR	ENTRY	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCHF	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDNOK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDPLN	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDSEK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCHF	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDSEK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDPLN	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDNOK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDNOK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDCHF	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-06-12 00:00	USDSEK	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan

Shadow ledger source: ~/trading/meta_labeler_state/shadow_ledger.csv · Driver: scripts/meta_labeler_live.py · Page added 2026-05-11.