Home RT Live ER Live Tier-1 Shadow Meta-Labeler Shadow

Meta-Labeler v1 Shadow

LightGBM meta-labeler trained on 21 emitter agents, deployed 2026-05-07 for the 30-day Phase 1 shadow window. Frozen model (no in-place retraining; next retrain at Phase 2 review 2026-06-06). Per the 2026-05-11 A/B verdict, the v1 artifact lost to HRP-weighted Tier-1 sleeves and is now research-only.

Model artifact

meta_labeler_v1_2026_05_08

frozen at 2026-05-07 22:36:28 UTC

Latest driver tick

2026-05-30T17:08:02 UTC

latest bar processed: 2026-05-30 16:00:00

Shadow ledger summary

metric	value
Rows in ledger	5,614
Entries	263
Exits	255
Blocked by concentration cap	1718
Heartbeats (still-open positions)	3378
Cumulative realized P&L	-4.7278%
Hit rate	38.8%
Observation window	2026-05-07 22:00 → 2026-05-29 20:00 (526.0h)

Current views (latest tick 2026-05-30 16:00 UTC)

Entry band: p_cal > 0.55 → LONG, p_cal < 0.45 → SHORT.

pair	p_cal	band	view	conviction	atr_24h	model_price
AUDUSD	0.4926	neutral	—	0.074	0.00060	—
EURUSD	0.6111	LONG band	LONG	1.111	0.00074	—
GBPUSD	0.6034	LONG band	LONG	1.034	0.00092	—
NZDUSD	0.4926	neutral	—	0.074	0.00057	—
USDCAD	0.7951	LONG band	LONG	2.951	0.00081	—
USDCHF	0.5605	LONG band	LONG	0.605	0.00065	—
USDJPY	0.6034	LONG band	LONG	1.034	0.05258	—
USDMXN	0.9758	LONG band	LONG	4.758	0.01188	—
USDNOK	0.6834	LONG band	LONG	1.834	0.00899	—
USDPLN	0.7731	LONG band	LONG	2.731	0.00289	—
USDSEK	0.7663	LONG band	LONG	2.663	0.00976	—
USDZAR	0.9758	LONG band	LONG	4.758	0.02304	—

Open positions

pair	position
EURUSD	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 1.16647, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "e
GBPUSD	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 1.346765, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "e
NZDUSD	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 0.59888, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "e
USDCAD	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 1.379035, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "e
USDJPY	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 159.265, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "en
USDMXN	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 17.34, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "entr
USDZAR	{"side": 1, "entry_price": 16.214795, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 19:00:00", "
USDNOK	{"side": -1, "entry_price": 9.24559, "entry_bar_time": "2026-05-29 20:00:00", "e

Recent ledger events (last 30)

bar_time (UTC)	pair	action	side	realized	reason
2026-05-29 20:00	USDSEK	BLOCKED	S	—	blocked_min_bars_between_1h_lt_12
2026-05-29 20:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDZAR	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDZAR	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDZAR	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDZAR	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDMXN	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDJPY	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	USDCAD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	NZDUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	GBPUSD	HEARTBEAT	L	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan
2026-05-29 20:00	EURUSD	HEARTBEAT	S	—	nan

Shadow ledger source: ~/trading/meta_labeler_state/shadow_ledger.csv · Driver: scripts/meta_labeler_live.py · Page added 2026-05-11.