EricL Analytics

FX Trading Intelligence

[email protected]

Trading Intelligence — 72 agents, meta-labeler shadow, 3 live systems
Evolving

Learner Evolution

Bayesian weight evolution over time
Accuracy by horizon & pair
Prior → posterior shift per agent

Grok AI

FX News & Rumors

Grok-powered X/Twitter + web search
Local press, officials, dealer chatter

Research

Meta-Labeler Phase 1 Shadow

Observational only — lost the 2026-05-11 A/B vs HRP-Tier-1
Frozen artifact meta_labeler_v1_2026_05_08, no live capital
Phase 2 retrain 2026-06-06 with Tier-1 conviction features

Shadow

Tier-1 Trifecta Paper Shadow

fv_fast_30m + er_1h + rt_1h, ledger-only on live market data
Hourly :15 tick, 3yr backfill seeded, no real orders
30d clean + HRP-rolling warmup is the live-capital gate (~mid-July)

Bayesian

Consensus Gauge

Per-currency: news + research + rumours
CME AM & LM positioning, 26w sparklines
Fresh / unwinding / mid-range

Live Trading Systems — FV + ER + RT, routed through IB
Live

Trade Router

Execution bus for all 3 systems
Bracket orders, IB client 20
FV + ER + RT signals

Live · armed 2026-05-25
~

FV-Fast 1h Variant-B (8-pair)

Q-044 admit, 1h signal-TF + 1m Variant-B execution
8 trading pairs / 12+6 driver pool, Z_ENTRY=3.0
Phase 1 infrastructure shakeout

Ops detail

FV-Live Ops

Per-pair triggers with live z
Hash chain status, heartbeat, fidelity contract
Operator-grade real-time monitor

Chain shakedown · armed 2026-05-27

Synthetic-Loop Test

NOT alpha — chain exerciser
~2.4 round-trips/hour at 100K notional, 25bp stops, 75min hold
Surfaces execution-chain bugs that fv-fast's slow cadence hides

Shadow · pending re-arm

Elasticity-Reversal (v3)

FX residual vs equity-driver flow
10 pairs, hourly bars, 24/7 (no session restriction)
Tier-1 admit, paper shadow only

Shadow · research-grade

Range Trading (v3)

Donchian channel fade
11 pairs hourly (USDCNH excluded)
Strict-gate fail post-cleanup, observational shadow

Data Sources
DTCC
$

DTCC FX Flows

NDF/Forward institutional flow
G10, EM, options, large trades

CME

CME Volume-Price

FX futures volume, delta, divergence
10 currencies, 7 signal types

Tools
📑

Research

Model white papers
Methodology, results, audit

Local
📈

Data

77 instruments — FX, futures, indices
1-min (5yr) + 1-hour
IB live feed + historical